Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
11.1482.7%
X7.8612.0%
217.895.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWLWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Den Haag
LLLWLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
3.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.30
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.30
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
3.00
3.20
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.40goals per match
Den Haag conceded3.00
Matchup

Den Haag attack

1.00goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.50
Match total
4.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
20.10
Match total
22.00

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
7.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.7%100.0%+17.3 pp
Draw12.0%0.0%-12.0 pp
Away5.3%0.0%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.930.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-026.7%
4-120.0%
1-013.3%
3-26.7%
4-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

9.203.33
Average total12.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.546.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away38.5%