Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
11.1482.7%
X7.8612.0%
217.895.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WWLWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Den Haag
LLLWLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
3.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.30
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.30
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
3.00
3.20
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.40goals per matchDen Haag conceded3.00Matchup
Den Haag attack
1.00goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
20.10
Match total
22.00
Shots
19.30N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
7.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.7%100.0%+17.3 pp
Draw12.0%0.0%-12.0 pp
Away5.3%0.0%-5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
2.93–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-026.7%
4-120.0%
1-013.3%
3-26.7%
4-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
9.20–3.33
Average total12.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.546.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away38.5%