Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 19:00
12.3140.9%
X3.4827.1%
22.9532.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
LDWWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Zwolle
LLLLLWLDDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
6.80
10.00
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.80goals per match
Zwolle conceded1.70
Matchup

Zwolle attack

0.40goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.80
10.00
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.90
Match total
2.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.70
Match total
22.90

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.70
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%40.0%-0.9 pp
Draw27.1%38.2%+11.1 pp
Away32.0%21.8%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.441.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
2-214.5%
2-110.9%
1-09.1%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.85
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.549.1%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away38.5%