Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 19:00
11.5062.8%
X4.5220.8%
25.7416.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWWDWWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.00
Against
3.80
10.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

3.10goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.90
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.80goals per match
Ajax conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.80
10.50
Match total
8.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
19.50
Match total
25.30

Shots

24.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
9.90
On target
5.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%66.7%+3.9 pp
Draw20.8%13.3%-7.5 pp
Away16.4%20.0%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.401.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.3%
3-113.3%
5-113.3%
2-013.3%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.27
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away40.0%