Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 18:45
11.9149.4%
X3.6825.6%
23.7725.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
VVV Venlo
WLLLWWLDDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
For Sittard
LLLLLLDDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
3.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.10
Against
7.90
10.90
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
3.00
2.60
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.00goals per matchFor Sittard conceded3.00Matchup
For Sittard attack
0.60goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
2.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
7.90
10.90
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.10
Match total
21.70
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.80
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%47.5%-1.9 pp
Draw25.6%22.0%-3.6 pp
Away25.0%30.5%+5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.63–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.6%
1-210.2%
1-110.2%
1-08.5%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.36–4.14
Average total10.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.3%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away58.8%