Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 17:30
12.8932.5%
X3.5626.4%
22.2941.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Den Haag
WLLDDDDWDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Heracles
WLDLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.40
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Den Haag attack

0.80goals per match
Heracles conceded1.50
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.60goals per match
Den Haag conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.50
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%25.6%-6.9 pp
Draw26.4%30.8%+4.4 pp
Away41.1%43.6%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS64.1%

Historical average

1.211.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
1-112.8%
2-210.3%
0-110.3%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.31
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%