Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 19:00
12.3440.3%
X3.0930.5%
23.2229.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LWDWWWDDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Groningen
LLLDWLDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
0.50
2H goals
0.90
40%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.40
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.20goals per match
Groningen conceded1.30
Matchup

Groningen attack

0.80goals per match
Willem II conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.80
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%40.8%+0.6 pp
Draw30.5%29.2%-1.3 pp
Away29.3%30.0%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.201.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-013.3%
1-113.3%
0-09.2%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.46
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.5%20.1%–48.0% CI
Draw FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT32.5%20.1%–48.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.5%