Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 15:45
17.5512.5%
X5.4817.2%
21.3470.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LDWWWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ajax
DWWDWWWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.50
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.40
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.50
Against
3.50
9.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

2.60goals per match
Ajax conceded1.30
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.50goals per match
Heracles conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.50
9.20
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
18.00N=10
6.30
On target
6.70
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.5%21.4%+8.9 pp
Draw17.2%0.0%-17.2 pp
Away70.3%78.6%+8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.571.4%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.362.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-221.4%
1-421.4%
1-314.3%
0-47.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.295.57
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away76.9%