Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 13:30
13.3128.5%
X3.6026.2%
22.0845.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vitesse
WWWWLLDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWLDLDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vitesse attack
2.00goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.40Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
1.60goals per matchVitesse conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
9.80
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
22.60
Match total
20.70
Shots
18.20N=10
Shots
16.60N=10
5.90
On target
6.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%26.9%-1.6 pp
Draw26.2%26.9%+0.7 pp
Away45.3%46.2%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS65.4%
Historical average
1.35–1.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
2-111.5%
0-17.7%
1-27.7%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–6.15
Average total10.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away72.7%