Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 13:30
13.3128.5%
X3.6026.2%
22.0845.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
WWWWLLDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWLDLDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

2.00goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.40
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

1.60goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
9.80
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
22.60
Match total
20.70

Shots

18.20N=10
Shots
16.60N=10
5.90
On target
6.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%26.9%-1.6 pp
Draw26.2%26.9%+0.7 pp
Away45.3%46.2%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS65.4%

Historical average

1.351.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
2-111.5%
0-17.7%
1-27.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.696.15
Average total10.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away72.7%