Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 13:30
11.2973.1%
X5.5517.0%
29.549.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DWWLWWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Zwolle
WLLLLLWLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.60
Against
7.60
10.50
Total
12.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.20goals per matchZwolle conceded1.60Matchup
Zwolle attack
0.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
7.60
10.50
Match total
12.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
19.00
Match total
21.90
Shots
18.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
6.60
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.1%82.4%+9.2 pp
Draw17.0%5.9%-11.1 pp
Away9.9%11.8%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
2.59–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-117.6%
3-011.8%
5-011.8%
2-111.8%
2-011.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.24–3.59
Average total10.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.564.7%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.541.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals46.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away30.8%