Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 18:45
11.4963.2%
X4.4921.0%
25.9715.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
DDWDWWLDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Den Haag
WLLLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.80
40%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.90
Against
5.50
10.70
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.80
2.50
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.30goals per matchDen Haag conceded2.80Matchup
Den Haag attack
1.10goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.50
10.70
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.20
Match total
21.40
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%67.7%+4.5 pp
Draw21.0%22.6%+1.6 pp
Away15.8%9.7%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS64.5%
Historical average
2.45–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-119.4%
4-116.1%
1-19.7%
2-26.5%
3-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.39–3.48
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away63.6%