Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 15:45
12.5636.8%
X3.4927.0%
22.6036.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
WLWDWWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Utrecht
DLDLWLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
0.60
2H goals
1.60
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.30goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.70
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.40goals per match
Willem II conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
9.10
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.80
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%41.9%+5.1 pp
Draw27.0%24.2%-2.8 pp
Away36.2%33.9%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.531.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.7%
2-29.7%
2-19.7%
1-28.1%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.73
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away57.1%