Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 11:15
12.0246.6%
X3.5326.7%
23.5326.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
DWWWWLLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Heerenveen
WLLWWDLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
9.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.80goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.70
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.90goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
9.60
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.50
Match total
2.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.80
Match total
19.50

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.40
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%45.2%-1.5 pp
Draw26.7%35.5%+8.8 pp
Away26.7%19.4%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.771.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-09.7%
2-09.7%
0-16.5%
3-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.743.74
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.519.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%