Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:00
12.4838.1%
X3.5726.5%
22.6735.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
VVV Venlo
LWLLLWWLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Heracles
WWLDLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
2.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.90
Against
5.90
11.90
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
1.00goals per matchHeracles conceded1.50Matchup
Heracles attack
0.80goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.90
Corners against
5.90
11.90
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.60
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%52.8%+14.7 pp
Draw26.5%19.4%-7.0 pp
Away35.4%27.8%-7.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.69–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-213.9%
2-113.9%
0-18.3%
1-08.3%
3-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.83–4.53
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.6%
Away41.2%