Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-11 · 19:45
11.8650.7%
X3.5226.8%
24.1922.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
WLWWLDWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Den Haag
LWLLLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.90
Against
5.90
11.20
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.70
3.10
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
2.00goals per matchDen Haag conceded2.70Matchup
Den Haag attack
1.00goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.90
11.20
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
20.90
Match total
20.20
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%50.0%-0.7 pp
Draw26.8%27.3%+0.5 pp
Away22.5%22.7%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.47–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.8%
1-112.5%
2-111.4%
0-19.1%
2-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–4.85
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Draw FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals20.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.3%
Away55.2%