Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 18:45
11.5959.2%
X4.2522.1%
25.0418.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWDWWLWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Willem II
WWLLWLDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
10.40
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.80goals per matchWillem II conceded1.60Matchup
Willem II attack
1.80goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
10.40
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
18.40
Match total
20.70
Shots
18.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.50
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%45.8%-13.4 pp
Draw22.1%16.7%-5.5 pp
Away18.7%37.5%+18.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
2.08–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.7%
4-012.5%
0-08.3%
0-38.3%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.67–3.67
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away27.3%