Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 18:45
11.4863.6%
X4.4521.2%
26.2015.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
DDDWDWWLDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
VVV Venlo
LWLLLLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
2.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.60
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.20goals per matchVVV Venlo conceded2.60Matchup
VVV Venlo attack
0.80goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.50
Match total
22.30
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.60
On target
2.90
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%50.0%-13.6 pp
Draw21.2%33.3%+12.2 pp
Away15.2%16.7%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS83.3%
Historical average
2.33–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
5-216.7%
2-116.7%
0-28.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–3.92
Average total9.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away30.8%