Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-07 · 19:00
11.6457.6%
X4.2222.4%
24.7020.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LLDWWWWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
For Sittard
LDLLLLLLDD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
3.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.40
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Against
9.20
9.00
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
3.10
3.90
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

2.40goals per match
For Sittard conceded3.10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

0.60goals per match
Heracles conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
2.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
9.20
9.00
Match total
11.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.00
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%75.0%+17.4 pp
Draw22.4%16.7%-5.7 pp
Away20.1%8.3%-11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.581.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-016.7%
2-116.7%
1-116.7%
2-08.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.834.58
Average total11.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away18.2%