Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 11:15
11.9149.2%
X3.7625.0%
23.6525.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
LWLWDWWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Heracles
DWWLDLLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.40
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.20goals per match
Heracles conceded1.50
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.90goals per match
Willem II conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.90
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%53.8%+4.6 pp
Draw25.0%33.3%+8.3 pp
Away25.8%12.8%-12.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.740.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
2-012.8%
1-010.3%
2-210.3%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.87
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away27.3%