Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 13:30
11.0986.7%
X10.499.0%
222.154.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetAjax: 9/10 · Sparta Rotterdam: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajax
WWWWWWWLW
8W 0D 1L · 2.67 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DWDLDLLLL
1W 3D 5L · 0.67 PPM
Goals
3.78
Scored
0.89
0.56
Conceded
2.22
78%
Over 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
56%
By half
1.89
1H goals
1.67
2.44
2H goals
1.44
89%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
7.89N=9
For
3.89N=9
2.78
Against
7.00
10.67
Total
10.89
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/9 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/9 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=9
3.78
Goals scored
0.89
0.56
Goals conceded
2.22
4.33
Total goals
3.11
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajax attack
3.78goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded2.22Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
0.89goals per matchAjax conceded0.56Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=9
1.67
1H goals scored
0.56
0.22
1H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.11
2H goals scored
0.33
0.33
2H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=9
7.89N=9
Corners for
3.89N=9
2.78
Corners against
7.00
10.67
Match total
10.89
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.78N=9
For
2.22N=9
2.22
Match total
3.22
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.44N=9
Committed
15.11N=9
18.67
Match total
23.22
Shots
26.78N=9
Shots
12.67N=9
11.33
On target
3.67
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.7%81.8%-4.9 pp
Draw9.0%0.0%-9.0 pp
Away4.3%18.2%+13.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
3.36–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
6-118.2%
4-118.2%
2-118.2%
0-29.1%
3-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
9.82–2.73
Average total12.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.5100.0%
Over 9.590.9%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.545.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals41.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.7%
Away25.0%