Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 19:45
11.3370.9%
X5.2518.0%
28.4811.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetAZ Alkmaar: 9/10 · Willem II: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WDWWLWWWW
7W 1D 1L · 2.44 PPM
Willem II
WWLLWLDWW
5W 1D 3L · 1.78 PPM
Goals
2.33
Scored
1.67
0.56
Conceded
1.67
56%
Over 2.5
56%
22%
BTTS
56%
By half
1.44
1H goals
1.89
1.44
2H goals
1.44
78%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
9.44N=9
For
4.00N=9
2.56
Against
4.89
12.00
Total
8.89
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/9 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=9
2.33
Goals scored
1.67
0.56
Goals conceded
1.67
2.89
Total goals
3.33
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.33goals per matchWillem II conceded1.67Matchup
Willem II attack
1.67goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded0.56Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
1.22
0.44
1H goals conceded
0.67
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.33
2H goals scored
0.44
0.11
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=9
9.44N=9
Corners for
4.00N=9
2.56
Corners against
4.89
12.00
Match total
8.89
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.11N=9
For
2.67N=9
2.44
Match total
3.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.11N=9
Committed
10.33N=9
18.78
Match total
21.11
Shots
18.56N=9
Shots
10.11N=9
7.33
On target
4.44
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.9%61.1%-9.8 pp
Draw18.0%22.2%+4.3 pp
Away11.1%16.7%+5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.94–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-016.7%
1-211.1%
3-211.1%
2-111.1%
3-011.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.89–3.28
Average total11.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away18.2%