Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 19:00
11.8449.9%
X3.5425.9%
23.8024.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Red Star
DDDLWDWDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Montpellier
LDLWLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.40
1.30
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
5.10
8.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
2.70
Total goals
1.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Red Star attack

1.40goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.60
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.80goals per match
Red Star conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.10
8.00
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
28.10
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches797
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%48.3%-1.6 pp
Draw25.9%26.1%+0.2 pp
Away24.2%25.6%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.611.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.0%
2-07.9%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.924.31
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=797.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches234
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.0%34.9%–47.4% CI
Draw FT39.7%33.7%–46.1% CI
Away FT19.2%14.7%–24.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away43.2%