Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 19:00
12.7533.3%
X3.1928.7%
22.4138.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
LLWLDDLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Le Mans
WWDWLDWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
0.40
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.70
7.70
Total
9.00
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
0.50goals per matchLe Mans conceded1.30Matchup
Le Mans attack
1.80goals per matchBastia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.70
7.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
33.70
Match total
29.50
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
4%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches777
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%32.7%-0.6 pp
Draw28.7%26.1%-2.6 pp
Away38.0%41.2%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.18–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.0%
1-111.8%
1-09.0%
1-28.9%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.89–4.82
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=777.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%23.9%–35.0% CI
Draw FT35.4%29.8%–41.5% CI
Away FT35.4%29.8%–41.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.9%
Away52.8%