Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 19:00
12.7533.3%
X3.1928.7%
22.4138.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bastia
LLWLDDLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Le Mans
WWDWLDWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
0.40
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.70
7.70
Total
9.00
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bastia attack

0.50goals per match
Le Mans conceded1.30
Matchup

Le Mans attack

1.80goals per match
Bastia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
0%0/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.70
7.70
Match total
9.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
33.70
Match total
29.50

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
4%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches777
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%32.7%-0.6 pp
Draw28.7%26.1%-2.6 pp
Away38.0%41.2%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.181.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.0%
1-111.8%
1-09.0%
1-28.9%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.82
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=777.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%23.9%–35.0% CI
Draw FT35.4%29.8%–41.5% CI
Away FT35.4%29.8%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away52.8%