Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 19:00
12.2840.1%
X3.3227.5%
22.8232.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pau FC
DLLDDLLDDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Nancy
LLLWDLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.80
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Against
5.70
9.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Pau FC attack

1.30goals per match
Nancy conceded1.10
Matchup

Nancy attack

0.80goals per match
Pau FC conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.70
9.70
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
27.30
Match total
32.20

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.40
On target
2.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches906
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%41.6%+1.5 pp
Draw27.5%27.3%-0.3 pp
Away32.4%31.1%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.441.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-19.3%
1-09.1%
0-18.5%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.72
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=906.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches291
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%29.1%–40.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%32.8%–43.8% CI
Away FT27.5%22.7%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away48.8%