Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 19:00
12.2640.5%
X3.2528.1%
22.9131.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guingamp
WDLWWLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bastia
LLDWDDDDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
0.80
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guingamp attack

1.10goals per match
Bastia conceded1.40
Matchup

Bastia attack

1.20goals per match
Guingamp conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
27.30
Match total
28.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,337
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.3%+1.8 pp
Draw28.1%28.9%+0.8 pp
Away31.4%28.8%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.391.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-011.5%
2-110.2%
0-18.9%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.63
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,337.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches420
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.8%30.4%–39.4% CI
Draw FT39.0%34.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT26.2%22.2%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away44.5%