Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 19:00
13.4926.3%
X3.2827.9%
22.0045.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
WLLWLDDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
St Etienne
LLWLDLWWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.40
2H goals
1.20
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.40
Against
4.20
7.70
Total
8.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
0.40goals per matchSt Etienne conceded1.20Matchup
St Etienne attack
1.00goals per matchBastia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.20
7.70
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
33.00
Match total
25.30
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.70
On target
4.50
3%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches322
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%23.3%-3.0 pp
Draw27.9%29.8%+1.9 pp
Away45.8%46.9%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.09–1.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
0-110.2%
1-29.6%
0-08.7%
2-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.39–5.40
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=322.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%14.3%–30.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%35.0%–54.3% CI
Away FT34.3%25.7%–44.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.4%
Away56.6%