Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 19:00
12.9231.4%
X3.3727.2%
22.2241.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pau FC
LDLLDDLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Guingamp
DDWLWLDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.00
Against
4.20
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.10goals per matchGuingamp conceded1.20Matchup
Guingamp attack
1.20goals per matchPau FC conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.20
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
27.80
Match total
28.40
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.4%28.4%-3.0 pp
Draw27.2%28.5%+1.3 pp
Away41.3%43.1%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.21–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-29.3%
0-18.8%
0-27.8%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–5.20
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=612.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.7%17.2%–29.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%31.2%–45.4% CI
Away FT39.2%32.3%–46.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.0%
Away54.5%