Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 13:00
12.1542.6%
X3.0430.2%
23.3727.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Red Star
WWDDDLWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Bastia
DLLLDWDDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
0.50
60%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.90
Against
5.20
8.40
Total
8.50
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Red Star attack

1.00goals per match
Bastia conceded1.00
Matchup

Bastia attack

0.80goals per match
Red Star conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.20
8.40
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.70
Match total
28.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches705
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%45.0%+2.3 pp
Draw30.2%30.1%-0.1 pp
Away27.2%25.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.310.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-014.2%
2-010.2%
0-09.5%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.023.97
Average total8.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=705.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.2%
Over 9.539.3%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches269
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%32.0%–43.5% CI
Draw FT41.3%35.5%–47.2% CI
Away FT21.2%16.7%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away43.1%