Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 13:00
13.2728.0%
X3.0130.5%
22.2141.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boulogne
LDLWLWLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Le Mans
WDWWDWLDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.10
1.90
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boulogne attack
1.50goals per matchLe Mans conceded1.50Matchup
Le Mans attack
2.10goals per matchBoulogne conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
8.40
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
18.80N=10
26.80
Match total
30.90
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
22%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches402
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%25.9%-2.2 pp
Draw30.5%31.8%+1.4 pp
Away41.5%42.3%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
1.00–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
0-011.4%
0-111.2%
1-09.5%
0-29.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.18–4.91
Average total9.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=402.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.521.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.7%–27.4% CI
Draw FT51.2%42.6%–59.7% CI
Away FT29.1%21.9%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals10.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.8%
Away44.9%