Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 13:00
13.2728.0%
X3.0130.5%
22.2141.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boulogne
LDLWLWLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Le Mans
WDWWDWLDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.10
1.90
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Boulogne attack

1.50goals per match
Le Mans conceded1.50
Matchup

Le Mans attack

2.10goals per match
Boulogne conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
8.40
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
18.80N=10
26.80
Match total
30.90

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches402
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%25.9%-2.2 pp
Draw30.5%31.8%+1.4 pp
Away41.5%42.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.001.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-011.4%
0-111.2%
1-09.5%
0-29.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.184.91
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=402.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.7%–27.4% CI
Draw FT51.2%42.6%–59.7% CI
Away FT29.1%21.9%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away44.9%