Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 13:00
12.7133.9%
X3.2728.1%
22.4138.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LWWWLLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Troyes
DDDWWLLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
10.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.70goals per match
Troyes conceded0.80
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.10goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
10.50
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
32.90
Match total
28.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches584
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.7%-2.2 pp
Draw28.1%27.4%-0.7 pp
Away38.1%40.9%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.271.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
0-110.3%
1-29.8%
1-08.2%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.14
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=584.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.6%19.7%–32.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%29.6%–43.7% CI
Away FT38.1%31.2%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away56.3%