Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 19:00
12.5536.0%
X3.2828.0%
22.5536.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pau FC
WLDLLDDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Montpellier
WWDLDLWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
0.70
90%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.30
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
0.70
3.50
Total goals
1.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Pau FC attack

1.40goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.70
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.90goals per match
Pau FC conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
27.60
Match total
29.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches742
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%33.3%-2.7 pp
Draw28.0%26.4%-1.6 pp
Away36.0%40.3%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.291.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-210.9%
0-110.1%
1-09.7%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.86
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=742.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.6%–39.9% CI
Draw FT31.7%26.0%–38.1% CI
Away FT34.8%28.9%–41.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.7%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away55.4%