Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-03-13 · 19:00
12.0245.4%
X2.9930.7%
23.8423.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bastia
LDWLLWLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Boulogne
WLDDDLDWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.50
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.70
8.00
Total
9.90
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bastia attack
0.50goals per matchBoulogne conceded1.00Matchup
Boulogne attack
0.90goals per matchBastia conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.70
8.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.50
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
32.30
Match total
28.90
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
4%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%47.0%+1.6 pp
Draw30.7%35.1%+4.4 pp
Away23.9%17.9%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.34–0.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
1-014.6%
0-011.9%
2-19.9%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–3.85
Average total9.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.1%25.2%–48.6% CI
Draw FT45.9%34.0%–58.3% CI
Away FT18.0%10.4%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away37.7%