Ligue 2 · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 19:00
12.2041.8%
X3.2028.8%
23.1329.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pau FC
WWLDLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Bastia
LLDLLLDWDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.50
1.90
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
0.50
90%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.30
10.10
Total
8.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.30goals per matchBastia conceded1.00Matchup
Bastia attack
0.50goals per matchPau FC conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.30
10.10
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.70
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.50
Match total
28.70
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,573
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%43.9%+2.0 pp
Draw28.8%30.3%+1.6 pp
Away29.4%25.8%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.41–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-012.1%
2-110.6%
0-08.9%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–4.47
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,573.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches518
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.5%31.5%–39.7% CI
Draw FT40.2%36.0%–44.4% CI
Away FT24.3%20.8%–28.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away42.9%