Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 16:00
11.5062.2%
X4.3721.3%
25.6716.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bastia
DWWDDWWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Caen
LLLLLWLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.30
Against
5.50
8.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bastia attack

2.00goals per match
Caen conceded2.20
Matchup

Caen attack

0.80goals per match
Bastia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.50
8.30
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.60
Match total
3.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.60
Match total
27.60

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches266
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.2%61.3%-0.9 pp
Draw21.3%21.1%-0.3 pp
Away16.5%17.7%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.140.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.5%
1-110.5%
2-19.4%
4-07.5%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.79
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%35.7%–58.8% CI
Draw FT41.2%30.3%–53.0% CI
Away FT11.8%6.1%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.1%
Away45.6%