Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-05-02 · 19:00
12.5736.4%
X3.5226.6%
22.5337.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Caen
WDLLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Red Star
WLWDLDLLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Caen attack

0.90goals per match
Red Star conceded1.60
Matchup

Red Star attack

1.10goals per match
Caen conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.80
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.80
Match total
23.20

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches467
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%34.7%-1.7 pp
Draw26.6%30.2%+3.6 pp
Away37.0%35.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.441.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-29.4%
2-18.8%
1-07.7%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.89
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=467.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches120
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%28.6%–45.6% CI
Draw FT35.0%27.1%–43.9% CI
Away FT28.3%21.0%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away54.2%