Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-05-02 · 19:00
15.8316.0%
X4.0023.3%
21.5460.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
DLLWLWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lorient
LDLWWWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

1.20goals per match
Lorient conceded1.00
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.40
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.30
Match total
27.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%9.5%-6.5 pp
Draw23.3%23.8%+0.5 pp
Away60.6%66.7%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.791.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
0-115.5%
0-213.1%
1-110.7%
0-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.355.48
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.538.1%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.519.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.4%
Away78.3%