Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 19:00
14.3921.4%
X3.8424.4%
21.7354.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pau FC
DWWDDLWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Metz
WDDDDWWWDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.10goals per matchMetz conceded0.80Matchup
Metz attack
1.70goals per matchPau FC conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.60
Match total
25.30
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.30
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.4%20.1%-1.2 pp
Draw24.4%20.4%-4.0 pp
Away54.2%59.4%+5.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.02–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.8%
0-29.6%
1-18.9%
0-18.6%
2-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.27–5.81
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.0%14.4%–32.1% CI
Draw FT31.7%22.6%–42.4% CI
Away FT46.3%36.0%–57.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals23.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.0%
Away62.2%