Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 19:00
11.2376.2%
X6.0615.5%
211.338.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WWWDWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Caen
LLLLLLWLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.50
Against
4.80
7.80
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

2.50goals per match
Caen conceded1.90
Matchup

Caen attack

0.80goals per match
Lorient conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.80
7.80
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
26.70
Match total
28.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.2%82.6%+6.3 pp
Draw15.5%12.3%-3.2 pp
Away8.3%5.2%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

2.550.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
2-014.2%
3-111.6%
3-011.6%
4-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.983.00
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Away FT9.1%3.1%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.9%
2+ goals75.8%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.9%
Away39.4%