Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 19:00
11.4564.3%
X4.3921.2%
26.4714.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WWWDWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Red Star
LWLWDLDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
8.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Metz attack

2.00goals per match
Red Star conceded1.60
Matchup

Red Star attack

0.90goals per match
Metz conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
8.40
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.90
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.50
Match total
22.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.3%73.5%+9.2 pp
Draw21.2%18.7%-2.6 pp
Away14.4%7.8%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS41.6%

Historical average

2.070.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.9%
2-015.7%
2-113.3%
3-16.6%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.373.39
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%49.4%–74.0% CI
Draw FT26.8%17.0%–39.6% CI
Away FT10.7%5.0%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away28.6%