Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:00
11.8949.7%
X3.1929.4%
24.4920.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
WDDWLWLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ajaccio
LLLLLWWWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.40goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.50
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Troyes conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.30
Match total
28.50

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.90
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%52.0%+2.3 pp
Draw29.4%32.8%+3.3 pp
Away20.9%15.3%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS45.4%

Historical average

1.450.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.0%
1-114.8%
0-012.2%
2-010.9%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.483.64
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.544.5%
Over 10.532.8%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%34.8%–55.9% CI
Draw FT42.7%32.5%–53.5% CI
Away FT12.2%6.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away29.3%