Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:00
11.9149.0%
X3.7025.3%
23.6425.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rodez
DWWLWLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Caen
WLLLLLLWLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
2.10
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
10.70
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rodez attack
1.90goals per matchCaen conceded1.70Matchup
Caen attack
0.90goals per matchRodez conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
10.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
23.60
Match total
29.20
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches515
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.0%50.3%+1.3 pp
Draw25.3%25.4%+0.1 pp
Away25.7%24.3%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.72–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
2-110.7%
1-09.1%
2-08.2%
1-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.78–4.32
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=515.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.529.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%30.9%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.4%31.6%–47.8% CI
Away FT21.9%15.8%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals21.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.9%
Away44.5%