Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 13:00
14.2022.2%
X3.5626.2%
21.8151.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Caen
LLWDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Metz
LLWDDDDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
8.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Caen attack

0.80goals per match
Metz conceded0.80
Matchup

Metz attack

1.10goals per match
Caen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
8.00
Match total
10.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.00N=10
4.70
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
29.90
Match total
27.00

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.50
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%21.2%-1.0 pp
Draw26.2%22.6%-3.6 pp
Away51.6%56.2%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

0.871.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
0-212.4%
1-111.9%
1-211.5%
1-011.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.46
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%14.5%–34.6% CI
Draw FT27.7%18.3%–39.6% CI
Away FT49.2%37.5%–61.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals4.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.4%
Away56.9%