Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-03-28 · 19:00
11.6955.1%
X3.4926.7%
25.1218.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WWWWDWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Troyes
LWWLWLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.80
Against
3.10
8.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Metz attack

2.10goals per match
Troyes conceded0.90
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.30goals per match
Metz conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.10
8.10
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.20
Match total
25.20

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%55.0%-0.1 pp
Draw26.7%26.9%+0.2 pp
Away18.2%18.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.640.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-012.2%
2-111.8%
2-011.8%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.69
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches185
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%32.7%–46.6% CI
Draw FT37.8%31.2%–45.0% CI
Away FT22.7%17.3%–29.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.9%
Away44.3%