Ligue 2 · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 19:00
11.7154.6%
X3.5026.7%
25.0018.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WWWWWDWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bastia
DLDDDLLWDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.50
Against
4.20
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

2.40goals per match
Bastia conceded1.20
Matchup

Bastia attack

0.80goals per match
Lorient conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.20
8.60
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
26.40
Match total
33.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.40
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches360
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%49.4%-5.2 pp
Draw26.7%28.3%+1.6 pp
Away18.7%22.2%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.540.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.5%
2-010.6%
2-110.0%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.863.62
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=360.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%32.0%–49.3% CI
Draw FT32.8%25.0%–41.6% CI
Away FT26.9%19.7%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away41.2%