Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-05-17 · 19:45
11.2972.3%
X5.4117.2%
28.8910.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Caen
WWDWWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Valenciennes
DLLLLLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
0.30
Conceded
1.80
10%
Over 2.5
70%
10%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.30
Goals conceded
1.80
1.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Caen attack
1.00goals per matchValenciennes conceded1.80Matchup
Valenciennes attack
0.60goals per matchCaen conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.10
Match total
29.00
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
3.80
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.3%72.1%-0.1 pp
Draw17.2%19.4%+2.2 pp
Away10.5%8.5%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
2.47–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-013.9%
2-112.4%
2-010.0%
1-18.5%
1-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.53–3.31
Average total10.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.550.7%
Over 11.539.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%42.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%29.1%–57.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–8.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.0%
Away40.5%