Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:45
11.9448.2%
X3.5826.1%
23.6425.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pau FC
WDLDLLWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bastia
WLLWDLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
9.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pau FC attack
1.50goals per matchBastia conceded1.50Matchup
Bastia attack
1.80goals per matchPau FC conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
9.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.80
Match total
26.00
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.00
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches358
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%48.9%+0.7 pp
Draw26.1%27.7%+1.5 pp
Away25.7%23.5%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.65–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
2-010.1%
2-19.8%
1-09.2%
0-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.40
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=358.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.4%–48.5% CI
Draw FT42.7%33.3%–52.7% CI
Away FT18.8%12.2%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals19.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away42.7%