Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:00
11.7054.8%
X3.7325.0%
24.5920.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
LLWDLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Caen
LWDWLLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.30
Against
5.20
12.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.60goals per match
Caen conceded1.80
Matchup

Caen attack

1.20goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.20
12.00
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.90
Match total
30.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches577
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%56.8%+2.1 pp
Draw25.0%22.9%-2.1 pp
Away20.3%20.3%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.720.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
2-113.0%
1-110.2%
2-09.9%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.97
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=577.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.9%40.5%–55.4% CI
Draw FT33.1%26.5%–40.5% CI
Away FT18.9%13.7%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away39.1%