Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:00
11.7054.8%
X3.7325.0%
24.5920.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Etienne
LLWDLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Caen
LWDWLLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.30
Against
5.20
12.00
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Etienne attack
1.60goals per matchCaen conceded1.80Matchup
Caen attack
1.20goals per matchSt Etienne conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.20
12.00
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.90
Match total
30.30
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches577
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%56.8%+2.1 pp
Draw25.0%22.9%-2.1 pp
Away20.3%20.3%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.72–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.2%
2-113.0%
1-110.2%
2-09.9%
0-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.97
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=577.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.9%40.5%–55.4% CI
Draw FT33.1%26.5%–40.5% CI
Away FT18.9%13.7%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.4%
Away39.1%