Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-23 · 19:45
12.3240.3%
X3.1030.2%
23.1729.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bastia
WDDWLWLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Concarneau
WDLWLLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
8.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Bastia attack

0.90goals per match
Concarneau conceded1.00
Matchup

Concarneau attack

1.00goals per match
Bastia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
8.40
Match total
8.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
28.10
Match total
29.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches937
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%41.0%+0.7 pp
Draw30.2%30.3%+0.1 pp
Away29.5%28.7%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.261.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.0%
0-09.9%
2-09.6%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.35
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=936.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches329
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.9%27.1%–37.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT25.2%20.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away45.3%