Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 18:00
11.7553.2%
X3.3327.9%
24.9218.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guingamp
DWLLDLWDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Bastia
LLWLLWDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.30
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guingamp attack

1.20goals per match
Bastia conceded1.40
Matchup

Bastia attack

1.50goals per match
Guingamp conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.90
Match total
26.90

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.2%50.0%-3.2 pp
Draw27.9%28.0%+0.0 pp
Away18.9%22.0%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.420.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-114.0%
2-012.9%
0-111.8%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.483.52
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=186.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.521.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%28.1%–49.4% CI
Draw FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI
Away FT30.3%21.1%–41.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals28.9%
3+ goals6.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away42.1%