Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 18:00
12.5936.0%
X2.7733.7%
23.0830.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ajaccio
WDWWWWDLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Caen
LLWDWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
0.60
2H goals
1.90
30%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.30
Against
5.00
5.80
Total
10.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ajaccio attack
1.30goals per matchCaen conceded1.80Matchup
Caen attack
1.20goals per matchAjaccio conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.00
5.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
29.70
Match total
30.60
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.00
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%44.4%+8.4 pp
Draw33.7%31.1%-2.6 pp
Away30.3%24.4%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS43.3%
Historical average
1.11–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-024.4%
1-117.8%
0-111.1%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.34–3.97
Average total8.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.545.6%
Over 9.531.1%
Over 10.522.2%
Over 11.514.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.03
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals19.4%
3+ goals6.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away35.5%