Ligue 2 · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 18:00
12.2042.5%
X3.2628.7%
23.2428.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Caen
DDWWWDWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Rodez
LLLWDLWWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.10
0.90
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
3.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Caen attack

1.10goals per match
Rodez conceded1.60
Matchup

Rodez attack

1.60goals per match
Caen conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
9.40
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
29.00
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,003
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%41.8%-0.7 pp
Draw28.7%30.2%+1.5 pp
Away28.8%28.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.481.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-09.9%
2-19.1%
0-07.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.43
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,003.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches289
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.6%30.3%–41.3% CI
Draw FT40.5%35.0%–46.2% CI
Away FT23.9%19.3%–29.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away42.9%